NCAA Expected Wins Contest

How to Play

• Contest Rules
• Cluster Price Calculator
• Contest Registration
  • MEN’S: due by Thursday, March 19, 2026 at 11:00am
  • WOMEN’S: due by Friday, March 20, 2026 at 11:00am
• NCAA Tournament Brackets:   MEN’S   WOMEN’S

 

Standings

1. List of Clusters Competing in the Contest
2. Results after Round 1 (Men // Women)
3. Results after Round 2 – Sweet Sixteen (Men // Women)
4. Results after Round 3 – Elite Eight (Men // Women)
5. Results after Round 4 – Final Four (Men // Women)
6. Results after Round 5 – Semifinals (Men // Women)
7. FINAL RESULTS (Men // Women)
   • Individual Champion in Men’s Tourney — Timothy’s Picks
   • Individual Champion in Women’s Tourney — 14 Clusters all tied for first (13 of those picked all four #1 seeds!)
   • Group Champions in Men’s Tourney — Friends/Family/Fans
   • Group Champions in Women’s Tourney — Faculty/Staff

 

Interesting statistical sites about the NCAA Tournament Analysis

• Ken Pomeroy’s blog
• Bracket Odds by CS Dept at Illinois
• Kaggle’s March Machine Learning Mania contests
• Roger Koenker’s Quantile Regression Bracketology research paper
• Tim Chartier’s Bracketology research paper

 

Thanks and Credit

• Prof. James Stapleton for devising the contest
• Prof. Alex Stepanov for bringing the contest to our department